This purpose of this blog is to document my own education in the study of Social Mass Systems and Behavioral Finance. Please read the disclaimer below. THE PREDICTIONS AND ASSESSMENTS MADE ON THIS BLOG ARE FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY. DO NOT TRADE OR RELY ON THESE FORECASTS OR ASSESSMENTS. NOTHING POSTED ON THIS BLOG CONSTITUTES FINANCIAL ADVICE AND ALL INFORMATION IS POSTED SOLELY FOR EDUCATIONAL AND ARCHIVAL PURPOSES.
Saturday, April 28, 2012
Mozart and Elliot_Eight Step Elliot Waves in a Piano Quartet
Tuesday, April 17, 2012
SOCIONOMIC INSIGHTS INTO THE EBB AND FLOW OF DEMOCRACY
Democracy's Longest Decline in 40 Years: Was It Predictable?
With socionomics, it's no surprise at all...
by Nathaniel Williams
Democracy has long been considered a model political
structure for self-governing societies. So why is "government
of the people, by the people, for the people" losing ground?
Consider what The Economist magazine observed:
"Freedom House, a New York-based body that monitors
a range of political and civil rights, reported that
2010 saw a net decline in liberty across the world
for the fifth year in a row, the longest
continual decline in four decades of record
keeping.... Western governments have become shy about
spreading the idea that certain human rights, enshrined
in the United Nations conventions, are universal."
- The Economist, September 2011 (emphasis added)
You may find this turn of events shocking, and rest
assured that we have yet to hear a satisfactory "fundamental"
explanation of the trend. But with socionomics - the
study of social mood - we can say that at this juncture it's
no surprise at all. Robert Prechter applied socionomic
principles to anticipate this trend more than 19
years ago:
"The numbers [Francis Fukuyama] presents showing
the rise of liberal democracy merely track the trend
of the stock market, i.e., of positive social mood,
from its Grand Supercycle degree low in 1784 to its
current all-time high. In fact, the two 'corrections'
of the trend roughly coincided with bear phases in
stocks.... As the worldwide decline in fortunes takes
hold, the number of liberal democracies will
shrink."
- The Elliott
Wave Theorist, June 1992 (emphasis added)
In other words, the same social mood that governs
the stock market also guides how nations govern
themselves.
And the number of liberal democracies has indeed decreased, just
as Prechter forecast. The new issue of The
Socionomist includes a stunning chart that allows you to
see for yourself how the number of democracies tracks the DJIA, the
best measure of social mood.
The Socionomist can you prepare for changes
in social mood that most people never see coming -
such as a downturn in global democracy. It offers you
a perspective that you simply will not find elsewhere.
The new issue's featured article, "Democracy Under
Attack," provides you with our uniquely insightful
socionomic analysis of this issue. Preview the new
issue below.
* * * * * * * * * *
Inside the October 21, 2011 Socionomist...
What Does it Mean to Spot the Impossible?
One
could say that the entire new issue of The Socionomist answers
the question above - and not with a single article,
but several. Each one memorably illustrates what an
independent mind can do by thinking outside the confines
of conventional wisdom.
In fact, the issue is so strong - and so worth your
time - that we want to give you a few highlights from each
one of the issue's three articles.
KEEP
READING>>
This article is syndicated by The Socionomist, a publication of the Socionomics Institute, and was originally published under the headline Democracy's Longest Decline in 40 Years: Was It Predictable?. The Socionomist is designed to help readers understand and anticipate waves of social mood. Copyright © 2012 Socionomics Institute.
Thursday, April 5, 2012
Robert Prechter_Video on The Markets and the upcoming Presidential Election
Robert Prechter talks to Fox Business News host Neil Cavuto about his latest research on how social mood affects presidential re-election bids. In the interview below, he reveals what is the most reliable indicator in predicting incumbent re-election.
Download and read a landmark academic paper by Prechter, Goel,
Parker and Lampert that identifies the link between stock market
performance and presidential election winners. The research has
been featured by ABC News, CBS News, U.S. News and World Report,
and many more outlets.
Download
the full paper for free >>

